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. 2012 Aug;15(8):881-8.
doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01812.x. Epub 2012 Jun 8.
Game theory sheds new light on ecological responses to current climate change when
phenology is historically mismatched
[39]Jacob Johansson^ [40] 1 , [41]Niclas Jonzén
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* ^1 Department of Biology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
jacob.johansson@biol.lu.se
* PMID: 22676374
* DOI: [42]10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01812.x
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Game theory sheds new light on ecological responses to current climate change when
phenology is historically mismatched
Jacob Johansson et al. Ecol Lett. 2012 Aug.
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. 2012 Aug;15(8):881-8.
doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01812.x. Epub 2012 Jun 8.
Authors
[46]Jacob Johansson^ [47] 1 , [48]Niclas Jonzén
Affiliation
* ^1 Department of Biology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
jacob.johansson@biol.lu.se
* PMID: 22676374
* DOI: [49]10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01812.x
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Abstract
Phenological changes are well documented biological effects of current climate
change but their adaptive value and demographic consequences are poorly known.
Game theoretical models have shown that deviating from the fitness-maximising
phenology can be evolutionary stable under frequency-dependent selection. We
study eco-evolutionary responses to climate change when the historical phenology
is mismatched in this way. For illustration we model adaptation of arrival dates
in migratory birds that compete for territories at their breeding grounds. We
simulate climate change by shifting the timing and the length of the favourable
season for breeding. We show that initial trends in changes of population
densities can be either reinforced or counteracted during the ensuing
evolutionary adaptation. We find in total seven qualitatively different
population trajectories during the transition to a new evolutionary equilibrium.
This surprising diversity of eco-evolutionary responses provides adaptive
explanations to the observed variation in phenological responses to recent
climate change.
© 2012 Blackwell Publishing Ltd/CNRS.
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139. https://github.com/ncbi
140. https://ncbiinsights.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/
141. https://twitter.com/NLM_NIH
142. https://www.facebook.com/nationallibraryofmedicine
143. https://www.youtube.com/user/NLMNIH
Usage: http://www.kk-software.de/kklynxview/get/URL
e.g. http://www.kk-software.de/kklynxview/get/http://www.kk-software.de
Errormessages are in German, sorry ;-)