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   . 2012 Aug;15(8):881-8.
   doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01812.x. Epub 2012 Jun 8.

Game theory sheds new light on ecological responses to current climate change when
phenology is historically mismatched

   [39]Jacob Johansson^ [40] 1 , [41]Niclas Jonzén
   Affiliations (BUTTON) Expand

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     * ^1 Department of Biology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
       jacob.johansson@biol.lu.se

     * PMID: 22676374
     * DOI: [42]10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01812.x

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Game theory sheds new light on ecological responses to current climate change when
phenology is historically mismatched

   Jacob Johansson et al. Ecol Lett. 2012 Aug.
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   . 2012 Aug;15(8):881-8.
   doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01812.x. Epub 2012 Jun 8.

Authors

   [46]Jacob Johansson^ [47] 1 , [48]Niclas Jonzén

Affiliation

     * ^1 Department of Biology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
       jacob.johansson@biol.lu.se

     * PMID: 22676374
     * DOI: [49]10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01812.x

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Abstract

   Phenological changes are well documented biological effects of current climate
   change but their adaptive value and demographic consequences are poorly known.
   Game theoretical models have shown that deviating from the fitness-maximising
   phenology can be evolutionary stable under frequency-dependent selection. We
   study eco-evolutionary responses to climate change when the historical phenology
   is mismatched in this way. For illustration we model adaptation of arrival dates
   in migratory birds that compete for territories at their breeding grounds. We
   simulate climate change by shifting the timing and the length of the favourable
   season for breeding. We show that initial trends in changes of population
   densities can be either reinforced or counteracted during the ensuing
   evolutionary adaptation. We find in total seven qualitatively different
   population trajectories during the transition to a new evolutionary equilibrium.
   This surprising diversity of eco-evolutionary responses provides adaptive
   explanations to the observed variation in phenological responses to recent
   climate change.

   © 2012 Blackwell Publishing Ltd/CNRS.

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 122. https://www.nih.gov/institutes-nih/nih-office-director/office-communications-public-liaison/freedom-information-act-office
 123. https://www.hhs.gov/vulnerability-disclosure-policy/index.html
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 125. https://www.nlm.nih.gov/accessibility.html
 126. https://www.nlm.nih.gov/careers/careers.html
 127. https://www.nlm.nih.gov/
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 130. https://www.usa.gov/

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 132. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/22676374/?dopt=Abstract
 133. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/22676374/?dopt=Abstract
 134. http://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=Game%20theory%20sheds%20new%20light%20on%20ecological%20responses%20to%20current%20climate%20change%20when%20phenology%20is%20historically%20mismat%E2%80%A6%20https%3A//pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/22676374/
 135. http://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A//pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/22676374/
 136. https://twitter.com/ncbi
 137. https://www.facebook.com/ncbi.nlm
 138. https://www.linkedin.com/company/ncbinlm
 139. https://github.com/ncbi
 140. https://ncbiinsights.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/
 141. https://twitter.com/NLM_NIH
 142. https://www.facebook.com/nationallibraryofmedicine
 143. https://www.youtube.com/user/NLMNIH


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